Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Aliens

Of 50 developers who shipped an Alien 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 70 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 70 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $748 → $179 → $179 → $119 → $299 → $60 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $4.8k (exactly $4,800)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 157
Announced 70
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 234 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $4.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ben 10: Power Trip 2020 · $288k Venineth 2020 · $152k Lifeless Moon 2023 · $100k The Maw 2009 · $98k The Last Cube 2022 · $77k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ben 10: Power Trip older $29.99 320 78% 9.6k $288k (exactly $287,904) PHL Collective
Venineth older $19.99 253 79% 7.6k $152k (exactly $151,724) Venineth Team, mort-art
Lifeless Moon older $12.99 256 78% 7.7k $100k (exactly $99,763) Serenity Forge
The Maw older $9.99 328 82% 9.8k $98k (exactly $98,302) Twisted Pixel Games
The Last Cube older $19.99 129 96% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Improx Games
Arms Evolution: ZOMBIE DESTROYER older $5.99 268 64% 8.0k $48k (exactly $48,160) Ash Game Studio
Hyper Team Recon $19.99 74 100% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Nathan Burton
Seed of Life older $24.99 29 68% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) MadLight
D-Corp older $19.99 36 77% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Frogsong Studios
Alien Hallway older $4.99 122 72% 3.7k $18k (exactly $18,263) Sigma Team Inc.
Awakening Sarah $8.99 59 93% 1.8k $16k (exactly $15,912) Asteristic Game Studio, Anthony Septim
Piss Off · EA $20.00 8 100% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,800) Emmanuel Crispi
Gelatina is Hungry $14.99 8 100% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Under Castle
DOSTAVKA $2.99 38 92% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) SASHADEV, SASHA
Starfield Battlegrounds $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) 谭浩翔
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Depths of Insanity 3 $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Sloppy Joe Studios
Time Flipper $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Lusho
Marsmare: Alienation $1.99 14 92% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Drunk Fly Oy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.