Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Agriculture

Only 18 developers shipped an Agriculture 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cozy Caravan, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $210 → $359 → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,798)
Top 5% $748k (exactly $747,826)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 33
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Agriculture; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Character Customization, Farming Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $27.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $27.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 1,402 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cozy Caravan $19.99 1,247 93% 37k $748k (exactly $747,826) 5 Lives Studios
Garden Trills $14.99 87 96% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Yukim
RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant $27.99 22 68% 660 $18k (exactly $18,473) SUNSOFT
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Brasil Simuleitor · EA older $19.99 11 100% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Rikardo
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
GARDEN OF EDEN older $15.99 6 16% 180 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) 凯撒工作室
おけけぬき older $4.99 19 94% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) oyajinojiike, keikun
Mr.T Survival older $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) TGAME
VillageBlade older $11.99 3 33% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) PlasmaBrain Studios
Build & Survive $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Esti Soft
Paws & Potions $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Revolto Software
Potion Wilds $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Amotoplay
Desktop Pasture $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) XDesktopSoft
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.