Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + 6DOF

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 6DOF 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + 6DOF

Of 37 developers who shipped a 6DOF 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 25% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + 6DOF
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $839 → $6.6k → $1.4k → $299 → $179 → $1.8k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + 6DOF: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,718)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 119
Announced 41
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, 6DOF; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Platformer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with VR, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 404 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. Nearly all of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
VR-Kanojo $54.99 176 63% 5.3k $290k (exactly $290,347) ILLUMINATION
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
VR Skater older $19.99 222 86% 6.7k $133k (exactly $133,133) DEFICIT Games
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City $24.99 105 76% 3.2k $79k (exactly $78,718) Cortopia Studios
Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! older $34.99 65 86% 2.0k $68k (exactly $68,230) Gemdrops, Inc.
The Tale of Onogoro older $34.99 48 79% 1.4k $50k (exactly $50,386) AMATA Games
Lucky's Tale older $19.99 73 89% 2.2k $44k (exactly $43,778) Playful Corp.
Dance Eden $19.99 42 85% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) DigiEden
Max Mustard $19.99 38 94% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Toast Interactive
Succubus Sisters and Countdown Sex VR $14.99 9 88% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) AhrpuXR
DiveInLoveVR $34.99 3 100% 90 $3.1k (exactly $3,149) LMTD
Doggy Up! $3.99 20 90% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Feas
Just Futanari 3 $24.99 3 100% 90 $2.2k (exactly $2,249) AhrpuXR
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab
Only Straight and Up! $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) AF Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.