Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + 4 Player Local

Of 37 developers who shipped a 4 Player Local 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $53k, ×86 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 66 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 66 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $807 → $4.3k → $3.1k → $599 → $748 → $240 (still earning) → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,668)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,973)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 163
Announced 66
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, 4 Player Local; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Local Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,262 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. Nearly all of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sackboy™: A Big Adventure older $59.99 2,822 83% 85k $5.1M (exactly $5,078,753) Sumo Digital
Ben and Ed - Blood Party older $14.99 2,297 88% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,032,961) Sluggerfly
Fling to the Finish older $19.99 849 85% 25k $509k (exactly $509,145) SplitSide Games
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Crumble older $14.99 681 89% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) BRUTE FORCE
Unbox: Newbie's Adventure older $19.99 293 88% 8.8k $176k (exactly $175,712) Prospect Games
Mount Your Friends 3D: A Hard Man is Good to Climb older $6.99 350 89% 11k $73k (exactly $73,395) Stegersaurus Software Inc.
All-Star Fruit Racing older $9.99 188 68% 5.6k $56k (exactly $56,344) 3DClouds
Moorhuhn Kart 4 $19.99 90 86% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Korion Interactive
KunKun dream Startles the Soul older $2.99 427 79% 13k $38k (exactly $38,302) AIKUN
Snow Bros. Wonderland $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Tatsujin, Bitwave Games, Toaplan
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Bomb Royale $4.99 127 62% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) Onur Doğan
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Potato Arena $9.99 21 71% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Erik Games
Anomaly Protocol · EA $4.99 33 72% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Oriland
Piss Off · EA $20.00 8 100% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,800) Emmanuel Crispi
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.