Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + 2D Platformer

Of 126 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 128 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 71 developers shipped in the last year and 128 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 128 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 126
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $449 → $359 → $299 → $479 → $300 → $150 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 126
Bottom 30% $45 (exactly $45)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,992)
Top 5% $72k (exactly $71,976)
Developers, 2 yr 126
Released games 300
Announced 128
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, 2D Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,764 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $330, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $71k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 64 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 128 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
英雄群侠传II older $11.99 2,103 88% 63k $756k (exactly $756,449) 熊窝dodox
Journey of Realm:Dawn Dew $10.99 2,233 97% 67k $736k (exactly $736,220) 葱色兔兔/Scallion Rabbit
The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An $17.99 690 88% 21k $372k (exactly $372,393) 开翼网络
仙绣剑缘录 older $11.99 814 85% 24k $293k (exactly $292,796) 熊窝dodox
封神榜2022 older $9.99 927 91% 28k $278k (exactly $277,822) FC Maker
巅峰骑士团 older $5.99 1,258 89% 38k $226k (exactly $226,063) 熊窝dodox
封神榜2023 older $19.99 270 94% 8.1k $162k (exactly $161,919) FC Maker
天师 older $8.99 477 60% 14k $129k (exactly $128,647) 明枭网络
吞食天地之乱舞三国 $13.99 271 92% 8.1k $114k (exactly $113,739) FC Maker
黯渊崛起:魔灵深渊 $7.30 508 80% 15k $111k (exactly $111,252) 攸缘游戏
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
YGGDRA REFRAIN $9.99 311 79% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) BD
No Retreat! The Russian Front $29.99 80 76% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) Cyril Jarnot, Avalon Digital
STRANGER SAGA -Stranger Bach and Iskiyeld's Ambition- $9.89 225 86% 6.8k $67k (exactly $66,758) Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロ… (Retro Game Balance & Mechanics -レトロゲームの手応えとバランスを追求するデザイン工房-)
Song's Fantasy $7.99 229 55% 6.9k $55k (exactly $54,891) 南十字座工作室
Eutolant Saga $15.99 114 92% 3.4k $55k (exactly $54,686) Oistar Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.