Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + 2D Platformer

Of 91 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. Revenue is down 35% on the market, with 90 games announced against 57 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 90 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 91
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $4.5k → $17k → $5.9k → $2.0k → $1.1k → $980 (still earning) → $75 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 91
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 5% $322k (exactly $321,536)
Developers, 2 yr 91
Released games 184
Announced 90
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, 2D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, RPG
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 6,152 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 50 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 57 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- older $39.99 710 88% 21k $852k (exactly $851,787) Laplacian
Kemono Teatime $12.99 1,617 95% 49k $630k (exactly $630,145) Studio Lalala, Kotoneiro, WHO YOU
Mosa Lina older $7.99 2,014 95% 60k $483k (exactly $482,756) Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Roll… (Stuffed Wombat, Silkersoft, Lukke, Rollin'Barrel)
FLAM EVAW $9.99 1,378 95% 41k $413k (exactly $412,987) 北京万合瑞晟文化传媒有限公司
Tsuki ni Yorisou Otome no Sahou 2 $39.99 287 96% 8.6k $344k (exactly $344,314) Navel
Blood Money: Lethal Eden $8.99 1,262 91% 38k $340k (exactly $340,361) 碧火互娱
Light Up The Town $14.99 715 95% 21k $322k (exactly $321,536) Meadow Studios
Black Lily's Tale older $18.99 438 86% 13k $250k (exactly $249,529) 1000-REKA
Japanese Rail Sim: Journey to Kyoto older $59.99 111 87% 3.3k $200k (exactly $199,767) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Dwarfs!? older $9.99 644 79% 19k $193k (exactly $193,007) Power of 2
OneRoom ―Yui Hanasaka Memorial― $3.99 396 91% 12k $47k (exactly $47,401) 株式会社さかさうま工房
ChuChu $13.99 107 89% 3.2k $45k (exactly $44,908) 爱的氧气罐制作组
Steamy Livestreams with My Girlfriend SS $8.99 162 90% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,691) Laplace
Scourge of the village $7.99 172 70% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) Triangel Game
Heroic Songs: the Remix! $16.99 56 92% 1.7k $29k (exactly $28,543) Emma Create

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.