Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + World War I

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWI Tank game?

Tanks + World War I

Only 6 developers shipped a WWI Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KAISERPUNK, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.4k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + World War I
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tanks + World War I: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,236)
Top 5% $795k (exactly $795,335)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 11
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
World War I
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tanks
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 229,155 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $790k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 1 older $39.99 200,661 86% 6.0M $241M (exactly $240,733,002) DICE
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
The Great War: Western Front™ older $34.99 2,733 66% 82k $2.9M (exactly $2,868,830) Petroglyph
Beyond The Wire older $9.99 5,247 68% 157k $1.6M (exactly $1,572,526) Redstone Interactive
NavalArt · EA older $19.99 2,362 90% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) Rigidbody
KAISERPUNK $29.99 884 71% 27k $795k (exactly $795,335) Overseer Games
Model Builder: Complete Edition older $19.99 1,058 74% 32k $634k (exactly $634,483) Moonlit S.A.
Panzer War : Definitive Edition older $11.99 1,317 85% 40k $474k (exactly $473,725) WindyVerse
Armored Battle Crew [World War 1] - Tank Warfare and Crew Management Simulator · EA older $19.99 635 32% 19k $381k (exactly $380,809) Gattai Games
Stickman Trenches older $5.99 1,922 81% 58k $345k (exactly $345,383) Big Play Games
Tactics of World War I $8.99 12 58% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Headless Horseman Games
Cannon Clicker $5.99 8 75% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Ritual Interactive
Toon Troops Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) New Angle Digital
Streamlands: Defense $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) NGD Studios
hotland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) AdamasZ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.