Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western Tactical game?

Tactical + Western

Only 9 developers shipped a Western Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DEAD END COLOSSEUM SS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $45k, ×72 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $2.1k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,646)
Top 5% $45k (exactly $45,499)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 40
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 249,032 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $9.6k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Desperados III older $39.99 11,880 96% 356k $14M (exactly $14,252,436) Mimimi Games
War of Rights · EA older $29.99 13,441 88% 403k $12M (exactly $12,092,868) Campfire Games
Hard West older $19.99 4,103 74% 123k $2.5M (exactly $2,460,569) CreativeForge Games
Hard West 2 older $29.99 2,717 80% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) Ice Code Games
The Oregon Trail older $29.99 1,220 79% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,097,634) Gameloft
Desperados: Wanted Dead or Alive older $4.99 2,111 87% 63k $316k (exactly $316,017) Spellbound
Desperados 2: Cooper's Revenge older $9.99 261 50% 7.8k $78k (exactly $78,222) Spellbound
DEAD END COLOSSEUM SS $10.99 138 83% 4.1k $45k (exactly $45,499) TLACHTLI
Helldorado older $9.99 138 76% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) Spellbound
Bounty Trail $6.99 84 52% 2.5k $18k (exactly $17,615) September Games
Boogey Hunters $6.99 46 84% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Keep The Engine Games
Revolver Gambit · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Welch Antony
A Fistful Of Yankees $6.99 10 90% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Pulsar Creation
Mole or Not · EA $2.99 15 53% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) EY GAMES
The First Mine $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Stefan Böttcher
Dead Man's Gulch $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Off the Clock Hermit
Noon Saloon $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Racc PG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.