Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Vehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vehicular Combat Tactical game?

Tactical + Vehicular Combat

Of 49 developers who shipped a Vehicular Combat Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3381 the market median. Revenue is up 540% on the market; 122 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 540% on the market, 122 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $807 → $359 → $86k → $2.4k → $11k → $19k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 25% $176k (exactly $176,356)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,123,180)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 134
Announced 122
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 540% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Vehicular Combat; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 78,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $170k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II older $39.99 87,494 88% 2.6M $105M (exactly $104,966,552) DICE
WARDOGS · EA $39.99 58,250 81% 1.7M $70M (exactly $69,882,525) BULKHEAD
Rising Storm 2: Vietnam older $24.99 42,381 87% 1.3M $32M (exactly $31,773,036) Antimatter Games, Tripwire Interactive
Hell Let Loose: Vietnam $39.99 10,702 61% 321k $13M (exactly $12,839,189) Expression Games
Easy Red 2 older $8.99 14,278 90% 428k $3.9M (exactly $3,850,777) Marco Amadei
Warpips older $16.99 4,339 87% 130k $2.2M (exactly $2,211,588) Skirmish Mode Games
Cleared Hot · EA $17.99 3,934 96% 118k $2.1M (exactly $2,123,180) Not Knowing Corporation
Forefront $27.99 1,913 84% 57k $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) Triangle Factory
Warbox · EA older $9.99 3,430 55% 103k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,971) Mantaliss
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
IRON REBELLION $24.99 772 84% 23k $579k (exactly $578,768) Black Beach Studio
Tank Squad $19.99 847 70% 25k $508k (exactly $507,946) DeGenerals S.A.
Space Reign $19.99 444 72% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Propulsive Games
Mech Havoc · EA $9.99 813 96% 24k $244k (exactly $243,656) Mid Development
Metal Thunder · EA $10.99 567 76% 17k $187k (exactly $186,940) Dumbbell Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.