Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Tactical game?

Tactical + Vampires

Only 12 developers shipped a Vampire Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Slayaway Camp 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $315k → $19k → $300 → $210
Outcomes for Tactical + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $19,095)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 30
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 87% positive over 105 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disciples: Liberation older $39.99 2,706 73% 81k $3.2M (exactly $3,246,388) Frima Studio
SaGa Emerald Beyond older $49.99 308 72% 9.2k $462k (exactly $461,908) Square Enix
Immortal Realms: Vampire Wars older $29.99 408 62% 12k $367k (exactly $367,078) Palindrome Interactive
Necrosmith 2 older $7.99 1,315 77% 39k $315k (exactly $315,206) Alawar
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
异变战区 E.E.R.I.E older $6.99 441 79% 13k $92k (exactly $92,478) Ureasoft
Fury of Dracula: Digital Edition older $12.99 213 72% 6.4k $83k (exactly $83,006) Nomad Games
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
Blade Prince Academy older $19.99 58 65% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Angel Corp
Slayaway Camp 2 $12.99 49 93% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Blue Wizard Digital
Frogmageddon $4.99 45 91% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) Frog Mage Udon, Sunset Dreamland
DevilReversi $9.99 6 33% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) RomanKitayama
Mobs 'N Monsters $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Ghostie Games
My Kirin kidney and my beloved teachers $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) OKEdragon
My Kirin kidney and my beloved teachers 2 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) OKEdragon
Gamers Club Repeat $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) S Xavier Uy
Ambasu · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Ekofi Gaming
Prince Nikolai and the Vampires $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RetroLove Inc.
The Rise of the New Han Prince $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OKErosefinch

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.