Games › Tactical › Tactical + Underwater
Should I ship an Underwater Tactical game?
Tactical + Underwater
Only 10 developers shipped an Underwater Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Modern Naval Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×679 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $22,438) |
| Top 5% | $427k (exactly $426,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Underwater
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Tactical
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 77% positive over 469 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + 6DOFFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Farming SimFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
Comparable games
Modern Naval Warfare 2026 · EA · $427k 
Microcosmum: survival of cells 2015 · $268k 
Stirring Abyss 2020 · $250k 
X-COM: Terror From the Deep 2007 · $114k 
Crash Dive 2 2021 · $84k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
| | Microcosmum: survival of cells | older | $7.99 | 1,117 80% | 34k | $268k (exactly $267,745) | Satur Entertainment |
| | Stirring Abyss | older | $24.99 | 334 88% | 10k | $250k (exactly $250,400) | Sleepy Sentry, K-Project |
| | X-COM: Terror From the Deep | older | $4.99 | 764 92% | 23k | $114k (exactly $114,371) | MicroProse Software, Inc |
| | Crash Dive 2 | older | $11.99 | 233 95% | 7.0k | $84k (exactly $83,810) | Panic Ensues Software |
 | Submarine Titans | older | $4.99 | 348 86% | 10k | $52k (exactly $52,096) | Ellipse Studios |
 | Kingdom of Wreck Business | older | $9.99 | 127 31% | 3.8k | $38k (exactly $38,062) | WarZoneLab |
 | Evolve Lab | · EA | $14.99 | 69 94% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | SiRen Games |
 | Subsiege | older | $19.99 | 43 46% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $25,787) | Icebird Studios |
 | Swirl W@tch | older | $14.99 | 54 98% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $24,284) | Sleeper Games |
 | Operation Octo | $6.99 | 107 98% | 3.2k | $22k (exactly $22,438) | Klub Kofta Studio | |
 | The people of Sea, Sun & Salt | $9.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $13,187) | Emerick Gibson | |
 | Reef Defense | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Swift Creek Games | |
 | Cool Game Pack | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | COOL 2 Interactive | |
 | Water Polo Manager 2026 | · EA | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | BOSSMADE Games |
 | Mast Up! Seas of Desire | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Kopon Games | |
 | bubble | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | prefowl | |
 | Coralland | $12.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | CLASSYXOCEAN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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