Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Thriller

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Thriller Tactical game?

Tactical + Thriller

Of 32 developers who shipped a Thriller Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×370 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 54 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 54 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Thriller
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $2.4k → $419 → $538 → $1.1k → $898 → $1.2k (still earning) → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Thriller: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,638)
Top 5% $233k (exactly $232,567)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 74
Announced 54
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Thriller
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Investigation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,411 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $720, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phasmophobia · EA older $19.99 684,009 94% 21M $410M (exactly $410,200,197) Kinetic Games
Demonologist older $19.99 18,886 85% 567k $11M (exactly $11,325,934) Clock Wizard Games
Gunman Contracts - Stand Alone · EA $24.99 1,180 78% 35k $885k (exactly $884,646) ANB_Seth
Project Unknown $9.99 776 81% 23k $233k (exactly $232,567) PsychoRavens
Lakeview Cabin 2 older $13.99 542 96% 16k $227k (exactly $227,477) Roope Tamminen
Bendy: Lone Wolf $19.99 259 77% 7.8k $155k (exactly $155,322) Joey Drew Studios
Tornado: Research and Rescue · EA older $12.99 356 85% 11k $139k (exactly $138,733) Sam Kennedy
INVITATION To FEAR older $4.99 420 62% 13k $63k (exactly $62,874) CHEST BOX
Misery Mansion older $17.99 87 72% 2.6k $47k (exactly $46,954) Manic Mice
Deadly Quiet $9.75 89 55% 2.7k $26k (exactly $26,032) Tarba Paul Cornel, Abdul Rafy
UNSIGHT $7.99 42 50% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) C51 Games
Fullbright Presents TOILET SPIDERS $5.99 26 73% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Fullbright
False Alarm $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Scattered Discs
Haunted Dorm $10.99 8 50% 240 $2.6k (exactly $2,638) mihuangame
Smile Protocol $5.99 13 76% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) OxygenStudio
Bomb Squad $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) International Headquarters

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.