Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Spaceships

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Spaceship Tactical game?

Tactical + Spaceships

Only 7 developers shipped a Spaceship Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Starless Abyss, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×283 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Spaceships
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tactical + Spaceships: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $6.0k (exactly $5,994)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 25% $157k (exactly $156,687)
Top 5% $178k (exactly $177,511)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Spaceships
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 13,702 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.0k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.0k. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 older $19.99 9,701 74% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) Tindalos Interactive
Shortest Trip to Earth older $25.99 1,257 76% 38k $980k (exactly $980,083) Interactive Fate
Nexus - The Jupiter Incident older $9.99 987 85% 30k $296k (exactly $295,804) Mithis Games
Gratuitous Space Battles older $14.99 568 72% 17k $255k (exactly $255,430) Positech Games
Starless Abyss $19.99 296 83% 8.9k $178k (exactly $177,511) Konafa Games
Final Theory older $14.99 386 79% 12k $174k (exactly $173,584) Monticube
BattleGroupVR2 · EA $24.99 209 85% 6.3k $157k (exactly $156,687) SpaceOwl Games
Dimensions: Dreadnought Architect · EA older $15.99 184 55% 5.5k $88k (exactly $88,265) Craft Theory
Eternal Starlight VR older $14.99 69 89% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) White Noise Games
To the Stars older $14.99 45 88% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Stellar Cartography Interactive
Fleetbreakers · EA $14.99 25 96% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Last Keep
Stellar Raiders $9.99 21 95% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Five Head Games
Space Menace 2 $9.99 20 75% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Only4Gamers
A-Spec First Assault $14.99 9 55% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Digitum Software
Infinite Empire · EA $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Better Tools LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.