Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up Tank game?

Tanks + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 17 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mech Havoc, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.7k → $359 → $2.7k → $7.9k → $150 → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $244k (exactly $243,656)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 74
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Shoot 'Em Up; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, Top-Down Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 911 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $150, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Multi Turret Academy · EA older $8.99 1,778 95% 53k $480k (exactly $479,527) Yulia Games
Mech Havoc · EA $9.99 813 96% 24k $244k (exactly $243,656) Mid Development
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Wee Tanks! older $9.99 548 90% 16k $164k (exactly $164,236) Studio Kit
Aircraft Evolution older $8.99 221 80% 6.6k $60k (exactly $59,604) Satur Entertainment
Furious Angels older $4.99 345 87% 10k $52k (exactly $51,646) MorfeoDev
Tank Destroyer older $4.99 318 76% 9.5k $48k (exactly $47,605) Freedomize Studio
Ballistic Tanks older $4.99 212 81% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,736) Kirklight Games
City Siege: Faction Island older $4.99 135 66% 4.1k $20k (exactly $20,210) Ish Games
Battle of Vukovar: Rain of Steel · EA older $9.99 59 55% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Cro Game Developers
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
Threads of War $4.99 45 97% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KoS
Valor 1944 $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Sunroom Games
Griffin 「グリフォン」 $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Ratalaika Games S.L., Shinyuden
Rogue Tanks $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Clayton Games
Soul Machine $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Zanarka Studio
GG Tanks $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Rodrigo Pistorello Vidor
Turning The Tide $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Funky Monkey Games
Tanks: Total Destruction $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 2DevStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.