Do I ship it?

GamesTransportationTransportation + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Transportation game?

Transportation + Score Attack

Only 12 developers shipped a Score Attack Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ZDSimulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×331 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 8 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 8 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Transportation + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $629 → $20k
Outcomes for Transportation + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,738)
Top 5% $208k (exactly $207,958)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 26
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Transportation, Score Attack
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,098 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Transportation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  2. + PvPFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + 3D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  4. + RacingFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  5. + Action-AdventureFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  6. + LogicFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  7. + ArcadeFair37 devs · median $839 · 32 announced
  8. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $747 · 20 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  12. + Life SimPoor odds24 devs · median $27k · 48 announced

All 53 pairs on the Transportation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metro Simulator 2 older $14.99 674 65% 20k $303k (exactly $303,098) KishMish Games
ZDSimulator $16.99 408 89% 12k $208k (exactly $207,958) ZDSimulator Team
GRIDROAD $9.99 385 82% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) RAJACORP
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
Railroad Ink Challenge older $7.99 88 82% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Horrible Guild
Reverse Problem $12.99 52 86% 1.6k $20k (exactly $20,264) Tag Axle Games
Speed Demons 2 $14.99 26 92% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Radiangames
Port Cranes : Container Age older $5.99 55 78% 1.7k $9.9k (exactly $9,884) Etchu Island Shipyard
Package Rush older $4.99 37 89% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Campfire Studio
Subway Train Simulator 2D older $4.99 26 96% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) Daniel Viktorin
The next train is $12.99 4 75% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) overload Games
UFO-Man $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Dyglone
Driving Master D $1.99 8 87% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Cold9
Box Game $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) BowieK
Delivery Service : Courier $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) DW

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.