Do I ship it?

GamesTransportationTransportation + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Transportation game?

Transportation + Idler

Only 15 developers shipped an Idler Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, AI Learns To Drive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Transportation + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $747 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Transportation + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $747 (exactly $747)
Top 25% $5.3k (exactly $5,273)
Top 5% $47k (exactly $46,738)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 29
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Transportation, Idler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Driving, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 380 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $750, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Transportation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  2. + PvPFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + 3D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  4. + RacingFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  5. + Action-AdventureFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  6. + LogicFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  7. + ArcadeFair37 devs · median $839 · 32 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  10. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds24 devs · median $27k · 48 announced
  12. + Immersive SimPoor odds61 devs · median $19k · 89 announced

All 53 pairs on the Transportation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fly Corp older $14.99 3,112 85% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,399,466) KishMish Games
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
TrainClicker Idle Evolution older $9.99 66 57% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) PixelRNG
Planet Harvester: Incremental Odyssey $5.99 71 92% 2.1k $13k (exactly $12,759) Galysh Company
Parking in Tight Spaces $9.99 40 77% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Hungry Devs
Endless Casual Drive older $9.99 24 62% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) MorningHeart
F.A.R.M.S.: Chill Factory $7.99 22 72% 660 $5.3k (exactly $5,273) Plema Crafts
TOP TRUCK DRIVER older $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Stas Paty9mkin
air star older $4.99 22 86% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) DogmaQuest, Brendan Roarty
Gas Station Tycoon older $14.99 7 0% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Nexvel Entertainment
FLOWORKS · EA $7.99 7 71% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) QUENCH FORGE
Car Tycoon $6.99 8 87% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) TOKI Games
Train Metropolis $4.99 8 75% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Crystalline Green Ltd.
Idle Ways $2.49 10 40% 300 $747 (exactly $747) MPR Games
Crazy Shipping $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) ADB Games
Fleet Manager: Logistics Simulator · EA $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Woodheadgames Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.