Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Tactical game?

Tactical + Rome

Only 10 developers shipped a Roman Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $26k, ×42 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×731 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 42.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 25 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tactical + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $26k (exactly $26,445)
Top 25% $216k (exactly $215,784)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 40
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 82% positive over 2,193 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $26k, 1 in 4 over $210k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 25 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition older $29.99 54,547 87% 1.6M $49M (exactly $49,075,936) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: ATTILA older $19.99 26,918 82% 808k $16M (exactly $16,142,725) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive
Total War: ROME REMASTERED older $29.99 12,627 77% 379k $11M (exactly $11,360,512) Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive
Expeditions: Rome older $44.99 5,156 86% 155k $7.0M (exactly $6,959,053) Logic Artists
Total War: PHARAOH older $29.99 3,622 63% 109k $3.3M (exactly $3,258,713) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY
The Age of Decadence older $14.99 3,582 82% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,825) Iron Tower Studio
Field of Glory: Empires older $39.99 734 81% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Ageod
Field of Glory II older $29.99 705 87% 21k $634k (exactly $634,288) Byzantine Games
Warriors of the Nile 2 older $14.99 1,180 88% 35k $531k (exactly $530,646) Stove Studio
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Bloodgrounds $19.99 561 77% 17k $336k (exactly $336,432) Exordium Games
Gods of Sand $9.99 720 86% 22k $216k (exactly $215,784) Achenar Studios
Strategos · EA $24.99 233 85% 7.0k $175k (exactly $174,680) Strategos Games
Rise of a Legend · EA $17.99 49 77% 1.5k $26k (exactly $26,445) Masquarade, Nicholas St. Germain
Roman General · EA $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Moore Games
Centurion's Gambit $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) iebaz
Ludus Manager $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) WARSONG ENTERTAINMENT
Primus $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Ethan Clarke
Medieval Siege $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mind Inside Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.