Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Tank game?

Tanks + Roguelike

Only 19 developers shipped a Roguelike Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TurretGirls, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 405% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $479 → $128k → $4.8k (still earning) → $75 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,904)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $564,035)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 40
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 405% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,681 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $480, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
Multi Turret Academy · EA older $8.99 1,778 95% 53k $480k (exactly $479,527) Yulia Games
Battlezone Gold Edition older $34.99 399 79% 12k $419k (exactly $418,830) Rebellion
Armoured Commander II older $9.99 587 98% 18k $176k (exactly $175,924) Gregory Adam Scott
Tankenstein · EA $17.99 238 89% 7.1k $128k (exactly $128,449) Landship Games LTD
Mini Tank Mayhem $11.99 93 88% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) Algorocks
ReEarth older $7.99 116 74% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) Jiangzuogongfang Shanghai Game Co.,Ltd
Thunder Tank: Iron Shield $3.99 221 82% 6.6k $26k (exactly $26,454) Crazy Studio
BROTANK $4.99 153 81% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Dfirend Games
Dead Hand older $19.99 31 80% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) One Man Army Games
Threads of War $4.99 45 97% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KoS
Vehicle No. 4 $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) indiejoh
Battle Echoes $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) rose may games
Contract of Swarm Hunter $2.99 15 93% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) ZYI Game
Tankbot Battle $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Galaxius Games LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.