Do I ship it?

GamesRoguelikeRoguelike + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Roguelike?

Roguelike + Superhero

Only 12 developers shipped a Superhero Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $210. Revenue is up 2665% on the market; 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 2665% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $54k → $4.2k → $239 → $599 → $3.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,077)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,741)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2665% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 279 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  2. + 6DOFFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  3. + Grand StrategyFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  4. + VampiresFair59 devs · median $3.1k · 58 announced
  5. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.9k · 17 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair60 devs · median $1.8k · 85 announced
  7. + IdlerFair160 devs · median $1.0k · 206 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair841 devs · median $959 · 1,066 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $718 · 28 announced
  10. + 2D PlatformerFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + LogicFair141 devs · median $599 · 168 announced

All 231 pairs on the Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
X-Angels older $10.99 614 89% 18k $202k (exactly $202,436) Barance Studio
Helmetman · EA older $19.99 136 79% 4.1k $82k (exactly $81,559) GoniNmimi Games
Widow in the Endless Labyrinth older $14.99 133 78% 4.0k $60k (exactly $59,810) Hajime Doujin Circle
Superior: Vengeance older $16.99 106 77% 3.2k $54k (exactly $54,028) Drifter®
ZHP: Unlosing Ranger vs. Darkdeath Evilman older $19.99 55 83% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc., Codeglue
Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse older $4.99 153 55% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Boogygames Studios
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
Ghosts Keep Out $3.99 130 75% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Only Fun Games
Idle Superpowers older $6.99 61 77% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) Lutsgames
Conquer Humanity · EA older $2.99 60 68% 1.8k $5.4k (exactly $5,382) Adi Zhavo
DREADMARCH $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) MM88
Doom Survivor: Horde Rush $2.99 38 86% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Crazy Studio
Robbing Time · EA $5.99 18 88% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Monday Squid
Cowboy Busy: Mowdown $3.99 25 84% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) Only Fun Games
WorldWatch: Superhero Bullet Heaven · EA $3.59 10 100% 300 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game… (Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game Studio)
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain
Tower Survivor $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) DIG Games
City of Despair: Shadows Over Tokyo $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) DIG Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.