Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Roguelike

Of 29 developers who shipped a Roguelike Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 28 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.0k → $748 → $449 → $59 → $838 → $449 → $1.0k (still earning) → $6.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $120k (exactly $120,286)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 73
Announced 28
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator, Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,565 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ZED ZONE · EA older $11.99 3,506 81% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,261,108) Leven Liu
The Hat Man: Shadow Ward older $9.99 2,816 64% 84k $844k (exactly $843,955) Game Mechanics LLC
Trip to Vinelands older $4.99 1,572 85% 47k $235k (exactly $235,328) Walter Machado
Goblin Dungeons $17.99 291 83% 8.7k $157k (exactly $157,053) Loolust
Daylight older $4.99 1,038 53% 31k $155k (exactly $155,389) Zombie Studios
Eternal Afternoon $8.99 446 95% 13k $120k (exactly $120,286) Alex Klexber
Spider Queen cave older $18.99 159 40% 4.8k $91k (exactly $90,582) 帅宅快乐屋
Gnomes and Knights $4.99 372 77% 11k $56k (exactly $55,688) Terletski Games
Subway Exorcist Girl $1.99 306 82% 9.2k $18k (exactly $18,268) 纤指游戏
GON: God Of Nothing $7.99 63 80% 1.9k $15k (exactly $15,101) BlackBoneGames
When We Arrive $9.99 22 81% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Two Pixels UG
Night Patrol $4.99 18 83% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) HwangSo Games
Dead Silence - Echoes of the Damned $4.99 13 38% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Persian Dare
Channel 64 $1.99 25 76% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) XejiksGG
NO LOGIC INC. $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) DarkLight Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.