Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Rhythm Tactical game?

Tactical + Rhythm

Only 10 developers shipped a Rhythm Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PATAPON 1+2 REPLAY, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 13 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $179 → $120 → $9.1k → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 25% $9.1k (exactly $9,109)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,881,273)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 39
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Rhythm
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 2,291 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $9.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PATAPON 1+2 REPLAY $29.99 2,091 83% 63k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,273) SAS CO.,LTD.
Beat Hazard 3 older $19.99 586 84% 18k $351k (exactly $351,424) Cold Beam Games
Wardrum $24.99 87 86% 2.6k $65k (exactly $65,224) Mopeful Games
Auralux: Constellations older $9.99 153 79% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Grove Street Games, E McNeill
Zombodesert older $49.99 12 91% 360 $18k (exactly $17,996) Gamesforgames
Spaceship Driver License older $49.99 11 100% 330 $16k (exactly $16,497) Gamesforgames
Flying Tobacco Eggs older $39.99 13 84% 390 $16k (exactly $15,596) Gamesforgames
Keytamine $7.99 38 81% 1.1k $9.1k (exactly $9,109) Nabokov
Abstract Driver older $9.99 22 59% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Gamesforgames
Not an Aim Trainer $2.99 54 92% 1.6k $4.8k (exactly $4,844) Shockah
Check & Clean $13.99 5 80% 150 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Unexpected Games
Run, Poo, Run! $0.99 11 100% 330 $327 (exactly $327) Reanim Games
Cadence $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) BitShift_Games
Virus Brotherhood $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Reanim Games
俄罗斯方块3D版 $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) WenxuanMiao
Fluffy Party $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Murat Ozkan Boy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.