Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Programming

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Programming Tactical game?

Tactical + Programming

Only 14 developers shipped a Programming Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Xenopurge, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×250 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Programming
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $14k → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Programming: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 5% $157k (exactly $156,999)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 32
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Programming
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Programming
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 616 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Duskers older $19.99 2,304 90% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,709) Misfits Attic
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena older $14.99 846 87% 25k $380k (exactly $380,446) GFX47
Automachef older $14.99 522 75% 16k $235k (exactly $234,743) Rhombico Games
Xenopurge $12.49 419 84% 13k $157k (exactly $156,999) Traptics
SOLAS 128 older $14.99 183 95% 5.5k $82k (exactly $82,295) Amicable Animal
Trade Bots: A Technical Analysis Simulation older $11.99 100 63% 3.0k $36k (exactly $35,970) Cinq-Mars Media
Observe · EA $7.99 74 91% 2.2k $18k (exactly $17,738) Kisotik Games
ALAN-13 Reformation older $15.99 34 82% 1.0k $16k (exactly $16,310) Viktor Kovács
Echoes of the Architects $9.99 46 80% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) GFX47
Copy Editor: A RegEx Puzzle older $6.99 58 55% 1.7k $12k (exactly $12,163) Christopher Jarvis
Co OPERATION: MultiTurn $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Mind Feast Games
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
ESC (Electronics Security Company) $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Electronics Security Company
Malware Tycoon $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) JIMMY DIAMOND
Frogrammer $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Snobfox
Widget Warriors $4.99 5 0% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Vespertine Game
GRID/ $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) NoeNoe Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.