Games › Transportation › Transportation + Procedural Generation
Should I ship a Procedural Generation Transportation game?
Transportation + Procedural Generation
Only 19 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, shapez 2 - Factory, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.6k, ×15 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $5.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×19836 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 31 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.6k (exactly $9,561) |
| Top 25% | $99k (exactly $98,601) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $12,457,246) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Transportation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Transportation, Procedural Generation; all of the top 25% also carry Building, Sandbox, Simulation
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 21,983 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $5.1k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Transportation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + PvPFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
- + RacingFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + LogicFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Transport Fever 2 2019 · $32M 
shapez 2 - Factory 2026 · $12M 
Derail Valley 2019 · EA · $11M 
Transport Fever 2016 · $8.3M 
Mars First Logistics 2025 · $2.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Transport Fever 2 | older | $39.99 | 26,714 89% | 801k | $32M (exactly $32,048,786) | Urban Games |
| | shapez 2 - Factory | $29.99 | 13,846 96% | 415k | $12M (exactly $12,457,246) | tobspr Games | |
| | Derail Valley | · EA older | $39.99 | 9,442 96% | 283k | $11M (exactly $11,327,567) | Altfuture |
| | Transport Fever | older | $29.99 | 9,278 82% | 278k | $8.3M (exactly $8,347,417) | Urban Games |
| | Mars First Logistics | $19.99 | 3,497 94% | 105k | $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) | Shape Shop | |
 | Mashinky | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,361 84% | 71k | $1.8M (exactly $1,770,042) | Jan Zelený |
 | Plan B: Terraform | $15.99 | 3,526 91% | 106k | $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422) | Gaddy Games | |
 | Train Fever | older | $19.99 | 2,765 61% | 83k | $1.7M (exactly $1,658,170) | Urban Games |
 | Sweet Transit | older | $34.99 | 1,119 67% | 34k | $1.2M (exactly $1,174,614) | Ernestas Norvaišas |
 | Overcrowd: A Commute 'Em Up | older | $19.99 | 1,701 81% | 51k | $1.0M (exactly $1,020,090) | SquarePlay Games |
 | Mini Settlers | $12.99 | 592 85% | 18k | $231k (exactly $230,702) | Knight Owl Games | |
 | Super Loco World - Cozy Train Automation | $9.99 | 329 76% | 9.9k | $99k (exactly $98,601) | Andrii Bychkovskyi | |
 | City Painter | · EA | $9.99 | 58 96% | 1.7k | $17k (exactly $17,383) | Blunix Games |
 | Speed Demons 2 | $14.99 | 26 92% | 780 | $12k (exactly $11,692) | Radiangames | |
 | Octohill Ski Tycoon | $8.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $11,058) | DeuxBaguettes | |
 | Stoplights | $8.99 | 39 89% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $10,518) | Wicked Blobfish | |
 | Iron Roads | · EA | $10.99 | 29 72% | 870 | $9.6k (exactly $9,561) | Cowleyfornia Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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