Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Tank game?

Tanks + Procedural Generation

Only 9 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tankenstein, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tanks + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $128k (exactly $128,449)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Procedural Generation
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,410 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sprocket · EA older $19.99 12,336 92% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) Hamish Dunn
Armoured Commander II older $9.99 587 98% 18k $176k (exactly $175,924) Gregory Adam Scott
Tankenstein · EA $17.99 238 89% 7.1k $128k (exactly $128,449) Landship Games LTD
Sandbox World older $4.99 133 72% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,910) XMAKE
Dead Hand older $19.99 31 80% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) One Man Army Games
ConnecTank older $29.99 13 100% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) YummyYummyTummy, Tamatin Entertainment
Expand & Exterminate: Terrytorial Disputes - Endless Base Defense · EA older $1.99 53 81% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,164) Terryble Interactive
Tanklike · EA older $9.99 7 85% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Julian Edison, Grayson Dew
Solar Storm older $6.99 9 100% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) Jakub Tomšů
Wardudes · EA older $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Ambitious Games
Mk50TWL Vehicle Battler Custom Slider · EA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) TimberWoodLumber Games
Nyassembled! · EA $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) K. N. Factory
Tankbot Battle $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Galaxius Games LLC
Scorched Legacy $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Whitemarsh Games, LLC
Hostile Paths $2.49 1 100% 30 $75 (exactly $75) Alberto Lanata
Canyon Raid $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dad Does Games
Bulletreign: Survivors · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Semih Cagatay
Sunfall '80 $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sean Beyer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.