Do I ship it?

Games › Tanks › Tanks + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Tank game?

Tanks + Post-apocalyptic

Only 13 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FRONT MISSION 3: Remake, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $75; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×757 the market median. Revenue is up 470% on the market; 36 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 470% on the market, 36 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $539 → $59 → $26k (still earning) → $75 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $75 (exactly $75)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,454)
Top 5% $476k (exactly $475,514)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 31
Announced 36
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 470% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,171 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $75, median $720, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $75. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake 2023 · $782k METAL MAX Xeno Reborn 2022 · $533k FRONT MISSION 3: Remake 2026 · $476k FRONT MISSION 2: Remake 2024 · $366k Ogre 2017 · $167k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake older $34.99 745 77% 22k $782k (exactly $782,026) Forever Entertainment S. A.
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn older $39.99 444 65% 13k $533k (exactly $532,667) 24Frame,inc.
FRONT MISSION 3: Remake $34.99 453 74% 14k $476k (exactly $475,514) MegaPixel Studio S.A.
FRONT MISSION 2: Remake older $34.99 349 57% 10k $366k (exactly $366,345) Storm Trident S.A.
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
Tankenstein · EA $17.99 238 89% 7.1k $128k (exactly $128,449) Landship Games LTD
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
ReEarth older $7.99 116 74% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,805) Jiangzuogongfang Shanghai Game Co.,Ltd
Thunder Tank: Iron Shield $3.99 221 82% 6.6k $26k (exactly $26,454) Crazy Studio
BROTANK $4.99 153 81% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Dfirend Games
Oath of Steel $18.99 4 0% 120 $2.3k (exactly $2,279) Ling Jun
The Ape Tales: An Epic Adventure Game $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Roker Games Studio
Nyassembled! · EA $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) K. N. Factory
Tank Hunter $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) MGameBox
Hostile Paths $2.49 1 100% 30 $75 (exactly $75) Alberto Lanata

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.