Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Tactical game?

Tactical + Pirates

Of 23 developers who shipped a Pirate Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $700; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×585 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 45 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 45 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $3.9k → $17k → $419 → $4.0k → $2.8k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $700 (exactly $700)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,776)
Top 5% $367k (exactly $367,405)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 69
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Combat, Turn-Based Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,690 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $700, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $700. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
Abandon Ship older $24.99 1,151 71% 35k $863k (exactly $862,905) Fireblade Software
Rogue Waters $29.99 955 75% 29k $859k (exactly $859,214) Ice Code Games
Airship: Kingdoms Adrift older $29.99 902 75% 27k $812k (exactly $811,529) Revolution Industry
Down with the Ship · EA $14.99 817 93% 25k $367k (exactly $367,405) Iron Anchor Games
Republic of Pirates older $24.99 420 70% 13k $315k (exactly $314,874) Crazy Goat Games
Dead Weight $12.99 575 82% 17k $224k (exactly $224,078) Klukva Games
Sins of a Solar Empire: Trinity® older $9.99 687 78% 21k $206k (exactly $205,894) Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock En… (Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock Entertainment)
Out of Reach: Treasure Royale older $14.99 337 58% 10k $152k (exactly $151,549) Space Boat Studios
Fort Defense older $14.99 232 78% 7.0k $104k (exactly $104,330) Creobit
Flint: Treasure of Oblivion $24.99 92 51% 2.8k $69k (exactly $68,972) Savage Level
Void Marauders $13.99 106 77% 3.2k $44k (exactly $44,488) Autarca
Pirate Hunter $6.99 80 87% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,776) DIOsoft
Sunken Stones $11.99 14 100% 420 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) Spritewrench
Warlordocracy $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
Pirate Patrol $4.99 19 42% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) INDIELLIGENT
Trade Empire · EA $9.99 5 60% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Valengate

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.