Do I ship it?

Games › Party Game › Party Game + Twin Stick Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Twin Stick Shooter Party Game?

Party Game + Twin Stick Shooter

Only 18 developers shipped a Twin Stick Shooter Party Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WIZARD PUNKS!!!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $4.8k, ×10 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 28 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $898 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 5% $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 35
Announced 28
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Twin Stick Shooter; all of the top 25% also carry 2D Fighter, Action, PvP
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 129 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $4.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 28 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ROUNDS 2021 · $6.4M AT SUNDOWN: Shots in the Dark 2019 · $8.1k WIZARD PUNKS!!! 2026 · $4.8k Checkmate Kings 2023 · $4.8k Goo Goo Grapplers 2024 · $4.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
AT SUNDOWN: Shots in the Dark older $9.99 27 55% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Mildbeast
WIZARD PUNKS!!! $6.99 23 95% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) EyeOfStormCat
Checkmate Kings older $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Monka Studios
Goo Goo Grapplers $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Both Good
Neighborhorde older $4.99 30 83% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Fermenter Games
HeadHunters $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Sumalab
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Bandits older $5.99 16 87% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) Benerot
Buhei $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Wild Garlic Games
Shenaniguns $3.99 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) coding398
Harpoon Arena $5.99 10 90% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) FairGoose
Carpoon $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Tom Arnold
BreakBall $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) eyedromeda
Paper Towel Royale $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Coatline Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.