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Should I ship a Roguelike Party Game?
Party Game + Roguelike
Only 16 developers shipped a Roguelike Party Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tenebris: Terra Incognita, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×395 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,692) |
| Top 5% | $188k (exactly $187,706) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 51 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 600% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party Game
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Roguelike
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Party Game, Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Procedural Generation, Roguelite, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, Hand-drawn
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,045 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 51 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + RhythmFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Vehicular CombatPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
Comparable games
UNO 2017 · $13M 
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire 2020 · $364k 
Conan Chop Chop 2022 · $190k 
Tenebris: Terra Incognita 2026 · $188k 
DunHero 2026 · $143k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UNO | older | $9.99 | 42,019 70% | 1.3M | $13M (exactly $12,593,094) | Ubisoft Entertainment |
| | Who Wants To Be A Millionaire | older | $29.99 | 405 52% | 12k | $364k (exactly $364,378) | Appeal Studios, Balio Studio |
| | Conan Chop Chop | older | $14.99 | 423 65% | 13k | $190k (exactly $190,223) | Mighty Kingdom |
| | Tenebris: Terra Incognita | $19.99 | 313 79% | 9.4k | $188k (exactly $187,706) | Phantasmica Studios | |
| | DunHero | $8.99 | 530 89% | 16k | $143k (exactly $142,941) | Dev Kacper | |
 | Hodgepodge Hunch | older | $4.99 | 140 93% | 4.2k | $21k (exactly $20,958) | uracon |
 | Panic Delivery | · EA | $7.99 | 52 90% | 1.6k | $12k (exactly $12,464) | Invader Studios |
 | Duo Quest | $14.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $12k (exactly $11,692) | 1+1 Studios | |
 | Balloon Flight | older | $5.99 | 54 92% | 1.6k | $9.7k (exactly $9,704) | Cyberwave |
 | Wink Out | · EA | $7.99 | 31 100% | 930 | $7.4k (exactly $7,431) | Clevergence Games |
 | Dorts : A Darts Roguelike | $8.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | MovingPixels | |
 | Dino-Ducks Dash | $2.99 | 30 96% | 900 | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) | Duckosaurus Games | |
 | Blackjack Roulette | $2.99 | 30 83% | 900 | $2.7k (exactly $2,691) | DreamArk Lab | |
 | The Arena | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Big W Games | |
 | CalvinChess | · EA | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Jared Gardner |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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