Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Party Game?

Party Game + Horror

Of 61 developers who shipped a Horror Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×339 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 144 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 144 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $2.3k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,072)
Top 5% $161k (exactly $161,078)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 81
Announced 144
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 670% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Action, Online Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 7,403 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds24 devs · median $1.3k · 64 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PICO PARK older $4.99 23,751 91% 713k $3.6M (exactly $3,555,525) TECOPARK
The Jackbox Party Pack 6 older $29.99 2,343 95% 70k $2.1M (exactly $2,107,997) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Kill It With Fire older $12.99 4,036 95% 121k $1.6M (exactly $1,572,829) Casey Donnellan Games LLC
Machine Party $7.99 4,199 87% 126k $1.0M (exactly $1,006,500) Mike Klubnika, GDeavid
Among Us 3D: VR older $9.99 2,449 75% 73k $734k (exactly $733,965) Schell Games, Innersloth, Robot Teddy
Tenebris: Terra Incognita $19.99 313 79% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) Phantasmica Studios
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
WE ARE SO DEAD · EA $7.99 672 73% 20k $161k (exactly $161,078) REAL PLAYERS
Midnight Murder Club $9.99 304 71% 9.1k $91k (exactly $91,109) Velan Studios
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Twisted Party $4.99 256 58% 7.7k $38k (exactly $38,323) Vampire Squid
Vessel $6.99 116 17% 3.5k $24k (exactly $24,325) OJStudio
Spider Roulette $4.99 143 91% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) Kud
Burgle Supply Company $7.99 85 88% 2.6k $20k (exactly $20,374) Terrible Posture Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.