Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Party Game?

Party Game + Roguelite

Of 22 developers who shipped a Roguelite Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×301 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 68 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 68 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.9k → $0 (still earning) → $7.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 25% $7.4k (exactly $7,431)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $142,941)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 32
Announced 68
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Roguelite; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,198 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  7. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  8. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  9. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  10. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  11. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds24 devs · median $1.3k · 64 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Conan Chop Chop older $14.99 423 65% 13k $190k (exactly $190,223) Mighty Kingdom
Tenebris: Terra Incognita $19.99 313 79% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) Phantasmica Studios
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
BattleCap $11.99 159 96% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) MechAlmond Productions
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
5 Minute Raid $4.99 53 90% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) MoMong
Wink Out · EA $7.99 31 100% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Clevergence Games
Neighborhorde older $4.99 30 83% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Fermenter Games
Ritual Night · EA $4.99 27 85% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Outfox Games
Dough or Die · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Soundbyte Interactive
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.