Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Party Game?

Party Game + Procedural Generation

Of 27 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×27 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 87 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 87 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Party Game + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,874)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 40
Announced 87
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 700% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Procedural Generation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Action, Co-op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 904 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $810, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 87 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Keep Talking and Nobody Explodes older $14.99 14,331 97% 430k $6.4M (exactly $6,444,651) Steel Crate Games
IRMÃO Grande & Brasileiro 2 older $19.99 1,392 97% 42k $835k (exactly $834,782) Virgula Leal
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Mimicry older $4.99 248 78% 7.4k $37k (exactly $37,126) Euphoria Games
This Is Golf $4.99 86 94% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) SaltySeedGames
Panic Delivery · EA $7.99 52 90% 1.6k $12k (exactly $12,464) Invader Studios
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Blood Night · EA $1.99 109 95% 3.3k $6.5k (exactly $6,507) Team
PULLBACK RACERS $3.99 39 94% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) SkyBrave, blazitt, Gevizz
Mad Void $5.99 23 100% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Sentry Games
Hunters In The Dark · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Wild Ox Studios, Utopia Machina
Golf Around 2 $7.99 12 41% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Hough Studio
Mineral Madness $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Whacky Mole Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.