Games › Tactical › Tactical + Outbreak Sim
Should I ship an Outbreak Sim Tactical game?
Tactical + Outbreak Sim
Only 13 developers shipped an Outbreak Sim Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Welcome Back, Commander, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 100% on the market, with 18 games announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $418 (exactly $418) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) |
| Top 5% | $103k (exactly $103,431) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Tactical, Outbreak Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 72% positive over 356 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + 6DOFFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Farming SimFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
Comparable games
Plague Inc: Evolved 2016 · $27M 
ICBM 2020 · $993k 
Infectonator 3: Apocalypse 2018 · $487k 
Welcome Back, Commander 2025 · $103k 
Quarantine 2017 · $98k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Plague Inc: Evolved | older | $14.99 | 59,205 94% | 1.8M | $27M (exactly $26,624,488) | Ndemic Creations |
| | ICBM | older | $19.99 | 1,655 91% | 50k | $993k (exactly $992,503) | SoftWarWare, K-Project |
| | Infectonator 3: Apocalypse | older | $12.99 | 1,250 83% | 38k | $487k (exactly $487,125) | Toge Productions |
| | Welcome Back, Commander | $14.99 | 230 80% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | S.C. 16 BIT NIGHTS S.R.L. | |
| | Quarantine | older | $9.99 | 326 60% | 9.8k | $98k (exactly $97,702) | Sproing |
 | Undead Inc. | older | $19.99 | 158 27% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Rightsized Games |
 | Post-Apo Builder | $9.99 | 54 37% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Septarian Games | |
 | Alarm112: Fire Unit | $14.99 | 23 73% | 690 | $10k (exactly $10,343) | Control Room Labs | |
 | Biletide | $5.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Formic Games | |
 | Propa. | $7.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) | Contagio Games | |
 | Supreme Ruler Global Outbreak | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | BattleGoat Studios | |
 | Exploiters | · EA | $1.99 | 7 14% | 210 | $418 (exactly $418) | Comar Studios |
 | Lord Of Anatolia | $3.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Mustafa Aykut Karacan | |
 | Signal Zero | $2.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Hollow Frame | |
 | Total City Defence | · EA | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Imprint Gaming |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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