Do I ship it?

GamesTransportationTransportation + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Transportation game?

Transportation + Modern

Of 21 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Transportation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×7.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $790k, ×1269 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 28 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Transportation + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $32k → $7.6k → $12k → $3.6k (still earning) → $4.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Transportation + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,888)
Median $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,205)
Top 5% $797k (exactly $797,134)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 54
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Transportation
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Transportation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sandbox, Automobile Sim
Price point
$12.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 15,661 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.9k, median $4.7k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $790k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.9k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Transportation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character CustomizationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  2. + PvPFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + 3D PlatformerFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  4. + RacingFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  5. + Action-AdventureFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  6. + LogicFair29 devs · median $1.7k · 30 announced
  7. + ArcadeFair37 devs · median $839 · 32 announced
  8. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $747 · 20 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + Level EditorPoor odds10 devs · median $43k · 17 announced
  12. + Life SimPoor odds24 devs · median $27k · 48 announced

All 53 pairs on the Transportation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RoadCraft $39.99 13,527 74% 406k $16M (exactly $16,228,342) Saber Interactive
InfraSpace older $24.99 1,638 82% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,009) Dionic Software
Citystate II older $24.99 1,098 73% 33k $823k (exactly $823,171) Andy Sztark
Bus Bound $29.99 886 72% 27k $797k (exactly $797,134) stillalive studios
Train Sim World® 7 $49.99 278 74% 8.3k $417k (exactly $416,917) Dovetail Games
Transport INC older $11.99 1,014 69% 30k $365k (exactly $364,736) DIGIFOX
Worldwide Rush $19.99 559 77% 17k $335k (exactly $335,232) Memel Games
Delivery INC older $14.99 257 71% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) DIGIFOX
Technicity older $17.99 200 75% 6.0k $108k (exactly $107,940) Osaris Games
Mega Mall Story older $8.99 302 94% 9.1k $81k (exactly $81,449) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Terminal One $19.99 96 66% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Terminal Reality
Global Magnates: Shipping Tycoon $12.99 116 64% 3.5k $45k (exactly $45,205) Aquila Chengdu
Jeepney Simulator 2 $8.99 119 91% 3.6k $32k (exactly $32,094) Spacezero Interactive
Parking in Tight Spaces $9.99 40 77% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Hungry Devs
Speed Demons 2 $14.99 26 92% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Radiangames
Helicopter Simulator 2025 - Real Flight PC/VR $17.99 14 42% 420 $7.6k (exactly $7,556) Helicopter Simulator

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.