Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Tank game?

Tanks + Modern

Only 11 developers shipped a paid Modern-Day Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Broken Arrow, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $38M, ×61908 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tanks + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,626)
Top 5% $39M (exactly $38,878,223)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 34
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 41%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 55% positive over 26,045 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $38M.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Broken Arrow $49.99 25,924 55% 778k $39M (exactly $38,878,223) Steel Balalaika
Gunner, HEAT, PC! · EA older $29.99 7,603 91% 228k $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) Radian Simulations LLC
Regiments older $29.99 2,822 87% 85k $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) Bird's Eye Games
Instruments of Destruction older $19.99 1,429 91% 43k $857k (exactly $856,971) Radiangames
Heroic Armored Company · EA older $16.99 185 56% 5.6k $94k (exactly $94,294) Magicvalley Studio(魔法谷工作室)
大戦略SSB2 $59.99 36 66% 1.1k $65k (exactly $64,789) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Tokyo Warfare Turbo older $14.99 136 86% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Pablo Vidaurre Sanz
Kamikaze Strike: FPV Drone $5.99 48 83% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Dinomore Games
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
AXYOS: Battlecards older $4.99 24 75% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Axyos Games
Tracktopia $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) GalaDev
Platoon $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Phalanx Tactical
FEBA Gunship R $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) rucsgames
Fire and Movement · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 星川友亮
Soul Machine $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Zanarka Studio
KS Tank War $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KS For Fun Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.