Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Party Game?

Party Game + Magic

Of 23 developers who shipped a Magic Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $8.6k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $899 → $269 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,356)
Top 5% $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 41
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 565% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, 4 Player Local
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Family Friendly, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 304 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $8.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MageQuit older $14.99 1,032 94% 31k $464k (exactly $464,090) Bowlcut Studios
The Smurfs - Village Party older $39.99 25 76% 750 $30k (exactly $29,992) Balio Studio
Super Shout Showdown · EA $7.99 111 83% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) Rezero Studio
MAGE: Mega Awesome Gregarious Encounters $9.99 29 89% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) FunRug Studio
Wizard Pool $2.99 66 84% 2.0k $5.9k (exactly $5,920) Grouch, SuitNtie, Negative Karma
SnackHunter older $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PolyPirates UG
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
WIZARD PUNKS!!! $6.99 23 95% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) EyeOfStormCat
Kooring VR Wonderland:Mecadino's Attack older $15.99 10 100% 300 $4.8k (exactly $4,797) VRANI inc.
Blagmoz older $7.99 18 94% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Frogthulu
Staged $7.99 14 100% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Project Sunset
ホロライブオールスター バトルタイルズ $3.99 20 25% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) BG2研
Catching Spirits $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Holy Moka Games
Halloween Candy Reclaim $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Sourcenity
Cosmic Star Lounge $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Bax Digital GmbH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.