Do I ship it?

Games › Tanks › Tanks + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Tank game?

Tanks + Local Multiplayer

Only 12 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Treads, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 70% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.1k → $838 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 46
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 100% positive over 36 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $3.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Combat Mission Shock Force 2 2020 · $1.1M Ogre 2017 · $167k Empires Shall Fall 2024 · $50k Treadnauts 2018 · $50k Battle Engine Aquila 2020 · $42k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Combat Mission Shock Force 2 older $59.99 624 80% 19k $1.1M (exactly $1,123,013) Battlefront
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
Empires Shall Fall older $12.99 129 86% 3.9k $50k (exactly $50,271) Weird Penguin Games
Treadnauts older $14.99 111 90% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) Topstitch Games
Battle Engine Aquila older $9.99 139 92% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Lost Toys Ltd
Tiny Tanks · EA older $9.99 111 65% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) LeadFollow Games
Ballistic Tanks older $4.99 212 81% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,736) Kirklight Games
TANKNAROK older $5.99 99 88% 3.0k $18k (exactly $17,790) Polyblock Studio
Tanky Tanks 2 older $9.99 45 100% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) EpiXR Games UG
Voxel Tanks older $2.99 44 70% 1.3k $3.9k (exactly $3,947) PigeonDev
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Tanks of Freedom II $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) P1X
Rogue Tanks $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Clayton Games
You All Know! Arm Tank Volley $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) Hiroyuki
Tank Brigade $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Dual B Games
Blitz Society $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Ryan Evans
Mini Tanks · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ExplodingWaffles
Krieg · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) EliteInterapptive
Scissors Paper Stone: Alert $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PlayNever
Pixel Tank Wars $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GGOLDBIG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.