Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Trading

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Trading

Of 44 developers who shipped a Trading Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $21k, ×44 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $5.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $820k, ×1739 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 62 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 44.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 62 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Trading
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $56k → $52k → $33k (still earning) → $5.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Trading: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $5.9k (exactly $5,865)
Median $21k (exactly $20,948)
Top 25% $190k (exactly $190,223)
Top 5% $826k (exactly $825,970)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 58
Announced 62
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Trading; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Economy
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 59,233 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.9k, median $21k, 1 in 4 over $190k, 1 in 20 over $820k.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.9k. 4 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  11. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  12. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Storage Hunter Simulator $24.99 3,866 78% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) Raccoons Studio
Dealer's Life 2 older $14.99 3,994 85% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,796,102) Abyte Entertainment
Cat Cafe Manager older $19.99 2,174 87% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,748) Roost Games
No Umbrellas Allowed older $19.99 1,394 80% 42k $836k (exactly $835,982) Hoochoo Game Studios
Megastore Simulator · EA $13.99 1,968 93% 59k $826k (exactly $825,970) Yolo Games Studio
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Dealer's Life older $9.99 1,257 93% 38k $377k (exactly $376,723) Abyte Entertainment
Returns Outlet Simulator · EA $9.99 921 95% 28k $276k (exactly $276,024) Twisted Twice Games
Medieval Crafter: Blacksmith $11.99 745 76% 22k $268k (exactly $267,976) Compact Core Games
Arctic Motel Simulator $17.99 465 88% 14k $251k (exactly $250,960) One Slice of Pizza Games
Military Incremental Complex $9.99 692 82% 21k $207k (exactly $207,392) Space Kraken Studios
Vending Machine Co. $14.99 441 85% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) Rogue Duck Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.