Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Nature

Of 21 developers who shipped a Nature Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $38k, ×80 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $5.8k. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.3 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 80.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $135k → $12k → $40k (still earning) → $51k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $5.8k (exactly $5,830)
Median $38k (exactly $38,191)
Top 25% $135k (exactly $134,796)
Top 5% $490k (exactly $490,243)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 30
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Agriculture
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,925 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $5.9k, median $38k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $5.9k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  3. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  5. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  6. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  9. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  10. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  12. + Life SimFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Ranch of Rivershine $29.99 2,050 94% 62k $1.8M (exactly $1,844,385) Cozy Bee Games
Garden Life: A Cozy Simulator older $24.99 899 78% 27k $674k (exactly $673,980) stillalive studios
Chop Chop Inc. $12.99 1,258 90% 38k $490k (exactly $490,243) NullRef Entertainment
A Game About Chopping Trees $7.99 1,083 85% 32k $260k (exactly $259,595) Space Raccoon Game Studio
Japanese Rural Life Adventure $24.99 238 80% 7.1k $178k (exactly $178,429) G-MODE, GAME START LLC
Bento Blocks $14.99 367 97% 11k $165k (exactly $165,040) SOMETIMES LIMITED
Snow Plowing Simulator $15.99 281 64% 8.4k $135k (exactly $134,796) FreeMind S.A.
Map Map - A Game About Maps $14.99 264 91% 7.9k $119k (exactly $118,721) Pipapo Games
Seclusa $12.99 148 97% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) Studio Niente
Landscaper Simulator $9.99 169 88% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,649) Midnight Game Studios
Lawn Care Simulator $19.99 67 91% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Zac Marvin, Edward DePew

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.