Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Tactical game?

Tactical + Investigation

Of 32 developers who shipped an Investigation Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×488 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 48 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 48 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $46k → $390 → $1.6k → $1.9k → $898 → $120 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,672)
Top 5% $307k (exactly $306,627)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 75
Announced 48
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Investigation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,947 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $630, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phasmophobia · EA older $19.99 684,009 94% 21M $410M (exactly $410,200,197) Kinetic Games
Demonologist older $19.99 18,886 85% 567k $11M (exactly $11,325,934) Clock Wizard Games
At Dead Of Night older $15.99 3,289 94% 99k $1.6M (exactly $1,577,733) Baggy Cat Ltd.
Whisper Mountain Outbreak · EA $7.99 2,421 84% 73k $580k (exactly $580,314) Toge Productions
Sigma Theory: Global Cold War older $17.99 892 77% 27k $481k (exactly $481,412) Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTi… (Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTigre)
Responding · EA $24.99 409 45% 12k $307k (exactly $306,627) Visionary Studios
Project Unknown $9.99 776 81% 23k $233k (exactly $232,567) PsychoRavens
Lost Dimension older $24.99 221 72% 6.6k $166k (exactly $165,684) FURYU Corporation
INVITATION To FEAR older $4.99 420 62% 13k $63k (exactly $62,874) CHEST BOX
Misery Mansion older $17.99 87 72% 2.6k $47k (exactly $46,954) Manic Mice
Emergency Call 112 - The Attack Squad $14.99 86 48% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Crenetic
Deadly Quiet $9.75 89 55% 2.7k $26k (exactly $26,032) Tarba Paul Cornel, Abdul Rafy
Bounty Trail $6.99 84 52% 2.5k $18k (exactly $17,615) September Games
Victor's Test Night: REVES $7.99 35 97% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) 727 Not Hound
Fullbright Presents TOILET SPIDERS $5.99 26 73% 780 $4.7k (exactly $4,672) Fullbright
Revolver Gambit · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Welch Antony
Red Core Division · EA $4.99 13 30% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) YBT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.