Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Party Game?

Party Game + Investigation

Of 20 developers who shipped an Investigation Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×29791 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 60 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 60 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $899 → $0 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 5% $14M (exactly $14,150,656)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 26
Announced 60
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Investigation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Survival, Co-op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Funny, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 84,961 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $900, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $14M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 60 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MECCHA CHAMELEON $5.99 78,746 87% 2.4M $14M (exactly $14,150,656) lemorion_1224
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
WE ARE SO DEAD · EA $7.99 672 73% 20k $161k (exactly $161,078) REAL PLAYERS
Deadly Trick · EA $8.99 141 95% 4.2k $38k (exactly $38,028) Finalblow Co.
Hodgepodge Hunch older $4.99 140 93% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,958) uracon
Mimicry! $9.99 45 97% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Wayward Skies Studio
Where is Billy? $6.99 23 100% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) Triple Boris Inc., Dodo Tako
Stick Scholars $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) JaDropping Games
Ritual Night · EA $4.99 27 85% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Outfox Games
Murder Next Room · EA older $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Haven Software
Project Corner $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Triny Games
Wolftown $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Portponky

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.