Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Incremental

Of 27 developers who shipped an Incremental Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.7k, ×20 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×1029 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 31 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $23k → $20k (still earning) → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Median $9.7k (exactly $9,712)
Top 25% $78k (exactly $78,044)
Top 5% $489k (exactly $488,920)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 31
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 14,722 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $9.7k, 1 in 4 over $78k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  11. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  12. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Leaf it Alone $5.99 6,244 95% 187k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) Eternity
Supermarket Chaos $4.99 3,266 92% 98k $489k (exactly $488,920) BunnyHop
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
Data Center $8.99 916 76% 27k $247k (exactly $247,045) Waseku
Final Profit: A Shop RPG older $14.99 520 95% 16k $234k (exactly $233,844) Brent Arnold
Military Incremental Complex $9.99 692 82% 21k $207k (exactly $207,392) Space Kraken Studios
ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER $3.99 888 94% 27k $106k (exactly $106,294) Gil Lawson
Piñata Go Boom $3.99 652 91% 20k $78k (exactly $78,044) tissue inu
Vending Dokan!: Kozy Kiosk · EA $11.99 150 90% 4.5k $54k (exactly $53,955) Aftabi Games
Black Friday Janitor: Clean the Whole Mall $5.99 259 97% 7.8k $47k (exactly $46,542) blackfridayjanitor
Mini Painter $3.99 194 90% 5.8k $23k (exactly $23,222) Tilt Station

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.