Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Tactical game?

Tactical + Idler

Of 56 developers who shipped an Idler Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×61 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 88 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 88 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 56
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $1.8k → $628 → $478 → $748 → $1.4k → $2.2k (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 56
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.4k (exactly $4,429)
Top 5% $38k (exactly $38,024)
Developers, 2 yr 56
Released games 129
Announced 88
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Combat, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 1,541 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $38k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disgaea 6 Complete older $59.99 387 63% 12k $696k (exactly $696,484) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Microcosmum: survival of cells older $7.99 1,117 80% 34k $268k (exactly $267,745) Satur Entertainment
Legendary Hoplite older $14.99 335 63% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) TripleBricksGames
Orc Incremental $7.99 444 75% 13k $106k (exactly $106,427) Nice Ride
All Aboard! The Train Defense Express $4.99 379 84% 11k $57k (exactly $56,736) Likadev
Siegeturtle $4.99 254 86% 7.6k $38k (exactly $38,024) YYZ Studio
Trade Bots: A Technical Analysis Simulation older $11.99 100 63% 3.0k $36k (exactly $35,970) Cinq-Mars Media
Next Reign: Kingdom $4.99 125 92% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) Tiny Tulip Games
Praise Dead older $4.99 118 70% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,665) Intrepid Marmot
Chaos Entropy $11.00 48 89% 1.4k $16k (exactly $15,840) MILLIDIA
Idle Crown $3.99 130 45% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Idle Crown
The Dawn: Sniper's Way $24.99 18 22% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) PHOSPHORUS GAMES
Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG $9.99 42 76% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) GameDevJoey
Battle Synth $4.99 56 92% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) Cow Games
Fire at Campsite $5.99 45 82% 1.4k $8.1k (exactly $8,086) Salvador Palma

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.