Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Idler

Of 21 developers who shipped an Idler Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×437 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 20 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $10k (still earning) → $510 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,247)
Median $10k (exactly $9,960)
Top 25% $54k (exactly $53,955)
Top 5% $207k (exactly $207,392)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 26
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Idler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Economy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,246 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.3k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $53k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  11. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  12. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Furnish Master · EA older $14.99 1,108 81% 33k $498k (exactly $498,268) Alex Blintsov
Inn Tycoon $11.99 727 76% 22k $262k (exactly $261,502) Evil Goose Games
Military Incremental Complex $9.99 692 82% 21k $207k (exactly $207,392) Space Kraken Studios
Vending Machine Co. $14.99 441 85% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) Rogue Duck Interactive
I got a millenary cat older $6.99 685 85% 21k $144k (exactly $143,644) CatBellUnion
Piñata Go Boom $3.99 652 91% 20k $78k (exactly $78,044) tissue inu
Seclusa $12.99 148 97% 4.4k $58k (exactly $57,676) Studio Niente
Vending Dokan!: Kozy Kiosk · EA $11.99 150 90% 4.5k $54k (exactly $53,955) Aftabi Games
Boba Simulator : Idle Shop Management · EA older $3.99 317 84% 9.5k $38k (exactly $37,945) Cuddle Code
Mini Painter $3.99 194 90% 5.8k $23k (exactly $23,222) Tilt Station
Farmer's Shop Simulator · EA $11.99 56 48% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) SleepySealsGames
Tidehaven: Ale & Trade · EA $5.99 109 74% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,587) Bunch'o'Nerds
Mr. Billion: Idle Rich Tycoon $6.99 77 53% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) U Master

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.