Games › Transportation › Transportation + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Transportation game?
Transportation + Historical
Only 15 developers shipped a Historical Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Legend of Khiimori, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2764 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) |
| Top 25% | $335k (exactly $335,232) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,735,521) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Transportation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Transportation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, Open World
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,386 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Transportation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationFair
- + PvPFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
- + RacingFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + LogicFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Level EditorPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Railway Empire 2018 · $6.5M 
Sailing Era 2023 · $3.4M 
Railway Empire 2 2023 · $2.9M 
Mashinky 2018 · EA · $1.8M 
The Legend of Khiimori 2026 · EA · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Railway Empire | older | $29.99 | 7,219 82% | 217k | $6.5M (exactly $6,494,934) | Gaming Minds Studios |
| | Sailing Era | older | $24.99 | 4,565 78% | 137k | $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) | GY Games |
| | Railway Empire 2 | older | $49.99 | 1,966 72% | 59k | $2.9M (exactly $2,948,410) | Gaming Minds Studios |
| | Mashinky | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,361 84% | 71k | $1.8M (exactly $1,770,042) | Jan Zelený |
| | The Legend of Khiimori | · EA | $29.99 | 1,929 82% | 58k | $1.7M (exactly $1,735,521) | Aesir Interactive, NightinGames |
 | Train Fever | older | $19.99 | 2,765 61% | 83k | $1.7M (exactly $1,658,170) | Urban Games |
 | Trainz Railroad Simulator 2022 | older | $39.99 | 1,214 74% | 36k | $1.5M (exactly $1,456,436) | N3V Games |
 | Railroad Corporation | older | $35.99 | 1,094 74% | 33k | $1.2M (exactly $1,181,192) | Corbie Games |
 | Railroad Corporation 2 | $39.99 | 376 69% | 11k | $451k (exactly $451,087) | Corbie Games | |
 | Train Sim World® 7 | $49.99 | 278 74% | 8.3k | $417k (exactly $416,917) | Dovetail Games | |
 | Worldwide Rush | $19.99 | 559 77% | 17k | $335k (exactly $335,232) | Memel Games | |
 | Ile d'Or | · EA | $14.99 | 164 88% | 4.9k | $74k (exactly $73,751) | あとらそふと |
 | TRS22 Model Railroaders Edition | $39.99 | 15 66% | 450 | $18k (exactly $17,996) | N3V Games | |
 | SkyChart: Airline Executive | · EA | $24.99 | 20 75% | 600 | $15k (exactly $14,994) | Casey Jones Labs |
 | Silk Roads II: Paths of Fortune | $9.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Priory Games | |
 | Museum Girls Fleet Maneuvers: The Dockhand | $4.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | HitD Entertainment | |
 | Ian's Rocket | $14.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | IQopolis |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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