Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Hex Grid

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hex Grid Tank game?

Tanks + Hex Grid

Only 6 developers shipped a Hex Grid Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 大戦略SSB2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.2k against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 11.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 7 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Hex Grid
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tanks + Hex Grid: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $64,789)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 7
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $15.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Hex Grid
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Hex Grid
Price point
$15.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,939 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $7.2k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $64k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Panzer Corps Gold older $29.99 2,227 91% 67k $2.0M (exactly $2,003,632) Flashback Games, The Lordz Games Studio
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Second Front older $34.99 613 78% 18k $643k (exactly $643,466) Hexdraw
Panzer Strategy older $29.99 437 64% 13k $393k (exactly $393,169) Starni Games
DAISENRYAKU PERFECT 4.0 older $59.99 117 35% 3.5k $211k (exactly $210,565) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Möbius Front '83 older $19.99 328 74% 9.8k $197k (exactly $196,702) Zachtronics
Strategic Mind: Spectre of Communism older $29.99 193 78% 5.8k $174k (exactly $173,642) Starni Games
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
Strategic Mind: Fight for Freedom older $29.99 122 86% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) Starni Games
大戦略SSB2 $59.99 36 66% 1.1k $65k (exactly $64,789) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Cold War Battles $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Kudos Games
Panzer Commander $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Fancing Game Studio
Fire and Movement · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 星川友亮
War War $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Verto Studio LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.