Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Runner

Only 6 developers shipped a Runner Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prison Escape Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.2k against a market of $1.3k. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,160)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 26
Announced 8
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter, Runner
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 123 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Witch Epoch older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
DeadBlitZ older $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Mewzur
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
War Of Gold older $4.99 16 62% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
GUN.DOG.REVENGE $4.00 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,160) MEWSTURBO
Cyber Hunter: Awakening older $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) FAMOUS PRODUCTION
Rogues Adventure older $4.99 11 81% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) SammyLand
Moon Bullet older $3.21 14 71% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) Jorge Aires
The Pirate King Ultimate older $6.99 5 40% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) KATSU
DEFENSORES DEL BARRIO $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) PERNICH MEDIA
ARO dangerous campaign $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexander Sevastianov
Hallway Gunners $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Finbox Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.