Games › Hero Shooter › Hero Shooter + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Hero Shooter?
Hero Shooter + Physics
Of 27 developers who shipped a Physics Hero Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.2 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $800k, ×596 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 34 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,574) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $20,760) |
| Top 5% | $803k (exactly $802,599) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 77 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Hero Shooter
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Hero Shooter, Physics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Combat
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, VR, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 6,490 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Hero Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SimulationLong shot
- + Bullet HellLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + MedievalLong shot
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + SuperheroPoor odds
- + Battle RoyalePoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PlatformerPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + AliensPoor odds
Comparable games
Battlefield™ 2042 2021 · $468M 
Crysis 3 Remastered 2022 · $7.0M 
Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap 2025 · $3.6M 
Arken Age 2025 · $803k 
TRIBES 3: Rivals 2024 · EA · $794k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ 2042 | older | $59.99 | 260,308 49% | 7.8M | $468M (exactly $468,476,308) | DICE |
| | Crysis 3 Remastered | older | $29.99 | 7,731 88% | 232k | $7.0M (exactly $6,955,581) | Crytek, Saber Interactive |
| | Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap | $29.99 | 4,053 69% | 122k | $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484) | Robot Entertainment | |
| | Arken Age | $39.99 | 669 90% | 20k | $803k (exactly $802,599) | VitruviusVR | |
| | TRIBES 3: Rivals | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,324 61% | 40k | $794k (exactly $794,003) | Prophecy Games |
 | IRON REBELLION | $24.99 | 772 84% | 23k | $579k (exactly $578,768) | Black Beach Studio | |
 | The Living Remain | $19.99 | 289 79% | 8.7k | $173k (exactly $173,313) | Five Finger Studios | |
 | illWill | older | $19.99 | 279 91% | 8.4k | $167k (exactly $167,316) | Slava Bushuev |
 | Birds of War | $9.99 | 439 87% | 13k | $132k (exactly $131,568) | HexNest Games | |
 | Heroic Armored Company | · EA older | $16.99 | 185 56% | 5.6k | $94k (exactly $94,294) | Magicvalley Studio（魔法谷工作室） |
 | KILLDOZER | · EA | $19.99 | 57 78% | 1.7k | $34k (exactly $34,183) | Rename For Value |
 | Deadliest Pigeon | $6.99 | 99 93% | 3.0k | $21k (exactly $20,760) | Rusty Rex | |
 | CPU Invaders - 3i Atlas | $4.99 | 77 98% | 2.3k | $12k (exactly $11,527) | Microblast Games | |
 | Prison Escape Simulator | $9.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | PEGAX Studios | |
 | Just Skill Shooter 4 | $9.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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