Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Medieval

Only 10 developers shipped a Medieval Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.1 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $3.6M, ×2707 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 12 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $4.7k → $150
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,514)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 34
Announced 12
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 69% positive over 4,095 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $150, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 12 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  5. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  6. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  8. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  9. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  11. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced
  12. + AliensPoor odds18 devs · median $1.0k · 25 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap $29.99 4,053 69% 122k $3.6M (exactly $3,646,484) Robot Entertainment
Witch The Bloodlines older $14.99 27 40% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Kerim Kumbasar
Dice Knight: Mystery of the Moirai older $11.99 15 86% 450 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Die of Death Games
Middle Evil: The Priest older $5.99 29 93% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) diedemor studio
HellEscape older $3.99 39 74% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) RogoNess
Iron Age older $4.99 28 71% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) GeoTECH
HEARTDUST · EA $6.99 17 94% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Heartbyte Studios
Rilla Shotgun · EA older $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) SpaceRex Games
Valkyrie Champions older $3.99 26 69% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Valorware
Super Weapon Master 超级武器大师 $3.99 21 57% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Idea Cat
Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) MagusForge
The Christopher Redemption - I $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Secernate Games Private Limited
Crusader $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Recoil Mojo
Band of Heroes · EA $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) VoltNight Studios
Clash at the Crossroads $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tevniyal Studios
Flip Crystal League $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Judox Studio
TD Master $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Martin Vaupell Christensen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.