Do I ship it?

Games › Hero Shooter › Hero Shooter + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Robots

Only 16 developers shipped a Robot Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Arken Age, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.7 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $30 → $657 → $12k → $297 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Top 5% $803k (exactly $802,599)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 76
Announced 27
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,828 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $800k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015 · $284M Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare 2016 · $31M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M Arken Age 2025 · $803k IRON REBELLION 2024 · $579k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare older $59.99 17,489 65% 525k $31M (exactly $31,474,953) Infinity Ward
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Arken Age $39.99 669 90% 20k $803k (exactly $802,599) VitruviusVR
IRON REBELLION $24.99 772 84% 23k $579k (exactly $578,768) Black Beach Studio
Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider older $16.99 489 85% 15k $249k (exactly $249,243) JoyMasher
Warden's Will $14.99 304 70% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) ELYZIO
Planet Cube: Edge older $14.99 110 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,467) Sunna Entertainment
Rocket Squad: Infinity $14.99 31 22% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Jackto Studios
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
IHAS $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) The Difference Studios
Harpoon Arena $5.99 10 90% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) FairGoose
Red Siren: Space Defense $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) ISTOM Games
Lunar Corps® · EA $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Flare Gun Studios
Desktop Waifu Defender $0.99 10 90% 300 $297 (exactly $297) nordska

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.