Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Psychological Horror

Only 7 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Marathon, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $1.3k. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 11 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $44,012)
Top 5% $54M (exactly $53,889,324)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 35
Announced 11
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 49,467 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $53M.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
KUNKUN Defender older $2.99 822 97% 25k $74k (exactly $73,733) Seal
TYRONE vs COPS older $0.99 2,201 94% 66k $65k (exactly $65,370) Team SNEED
Grand Pigeon's Duty older $3.99 448 76% 13k $54k (exactly $53,626) WolfgangIs
KUNKUN Defender 2 $4.99 294 94% 8.8k $44k (exactly $44,012) Seal
Rescue Operation older $3.99 253 87% 7.6k $30k (exactly $30,284) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Zombie Survivals [18+]🧟‍♀️🔞 older $3.99 180 61% 5.4k $22k (exactly $21,546) Pirates Of The Digital Sea
Last Village older $9.99 32 84% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) AK Studio
H.E.N.T.A.L.K.E.R. older $0.99 301 78% 9.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,940) Who We Are Games
Dark Invasion VR: Doomsday · EA older $12.99 17 64% 510 $6.6k (exactly $6,625) darksciencelab
HEARTDUST · EA $6.99 17 94% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Heartbyte Studios
Arachnoid $4.99 12 33% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Horrid Vision LLC
Backrooms: The Yellow Dream $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Crow Games
Last Stand: Zombie Horde $1.99 8 100% 240 $478 (exactly $478) KOZGAMES
Losted Mind $0.99 6 83% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Dzianis Kazakou

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.